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On Forecasts and Scenarios
In mid-August, about exactly 10 weeks ago, the wave of return travel was in full swing. Weekly testing numbers had almost tripled compared to early summer. The Robert Koch Institute (RKI) registered an average of about 1,200 new Corona cases daily—and a newspaper with four letters asked me: Where will we end up in autumn if this continues? Back then, I calculated a number of up to 20,000 positive tests per day by the end of October. It was a huge headline that brought me angr


How many people does the COVID-19 vaccination protect?
Our Unstatistic of the Month for November addressed the question of how to correctly interpret statements about vaccine effectiveness. That contribution continues to make big waves to this day. Immediately after its publication, BR Faktenfuchs very differentiatedly addressed the topic of absolute and relative risk reduction, clarifying why the statement that the active ingredient protects 95% of vaccinated individuals from getting sick or even infected is not correct. However


The Corona pandemic leads to an increase in the size and dimensions of Germans
The Unstatistik of the Month for July is a press release from the Technical University of Munich (TUM) titled "Corona fuels another pandemic" and its reception in the media. The "other pandemic" refers to the increase in weight among adult Germans. "Germans have gained just over five kilograms in the past year," writes ZEIT online, expressing concern: "How do we get that weight down again?" In the following interview with four personal trainers, two of them confirm their impr


10 years of Unstatistik: How we overcome number blindness
Unstatistik des Monats has been around for ten years now. Our first book became a Spiegel bestseller and the second will be published this year. But there's still no reason to sit back and say: We've made it - Germany thinks statistically. On the contrary. We still have a long way to go. "Why Being Fat Doesn't Make You Stupid and GMOs Don't Kill" by Thomas Bauer, Gerd Gigerenzer, Walter Krämer - Campus Verlag With a view to dealing with numbers and statistics in the Corona cr
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