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Why the positive rate says as much (or as little) as the incidence rate
‘Coronavirus case numbers are meaningless. Unless you know something about testing. And even then, it gets complicated.’ So wrote Nate Silver, statistician and founder of FiveThirtyEight, almost exactly a year ago. But do we know enough about testing? Coronavirus Case Counts Are Meaningless* *Unless you know something about testing. And even then, it gets complicated. In October, we explained in the Unstatistic of the Month why the 7-day incidence, which shows the developmen
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